Friday, November 19, 2021

Get your 2024 election bets down now!

Online pollster InteractivePolls shows President Trump the clear favourite to win the 2024 presidential election. Their aggregation of recent polls gives the Donald a 21.28% chance of being re-elected, with the President Brandon well behind with only 14.71%, and the first WOC vice-president even farther behind at 11.11%. Here's how the trend-lines look, graphically.


Following Camela Harris was Ron DeSantis at 8.70%, Nikki Haley 4.35%, and Pete Buttgag bringing up the rear [Careful... Ed.] with 3.70%. Oops, I misspoke. Mike Pence was actually last, at 3.12%.

Citizen Trump has either tied or edged out Sleepy Joe in a number of hypothetical 2024 general election matchups. An Emerson College survey released this month showed Mr Trump edging out Mr Brandon, 45% to 43%. An I&I/TIPP poll released in October showed Old Joe behind The Donald in every part of the US of A except the northeast.

Back in June, Breitbart News reported the phenomenon of Governor. DeSantis’s rise in presidential betting markets. At the time, USsportsbonus.com found that both men had 4/1 odds to be the Republican nominee in 2024 (20% implied probability), making them tied for the favorite position. However, Mr Trump’s 7/1 odds to win the 2024 Presidential Election (12.5%) are better than Mr DeSantis's 12/1 odds (7.7%).

Mr Trump recently suggested that Mr DeSantis would be a good running mate. Smart thinking, since, according to Sportsbonus, the Florida Governor is the biggest threat (within the GOP) to the former President. US Sportsbonus gambling industry analyst Jay Sanin wrote, "DeSantis has improved significantly in both markets since February, when he was a distant 40/1 to win the election and 12/1 to be the Republican nominee."

That's the state of play just a year after the fake election that put Mr Brandon in the Oval Office. A yeaer from now, after Republicans regain control of both the House and the Senate (lifetime pct .991), Sleepy Joe will be the lamest of lame ducks, a true occasion for Thanksgiving.

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