Showing posts with label polls. Show all posts
Showing posts with label polls. Show all posts

Friday, September 13, 2024

VIDEO: Trump's excellent closing statement, analysis from Fox

The lickspittle media would have you believe that the Not-so-great Debate (reviewed by Walt on 11/9/24) was a disaster for President Trump. It's true he rose to just about every worm from the bucket of bait thrown out by the Cackler, assisted by her prompters at the mods desk. He allowing himself to be distracted to the point where his own message got lost in the rebuttals. 

However, the once and future POTUS came on strong at the last moment. His closing statement drew an ah-mazing 17.6 million views on TikTok! In this video from Fox News, the "Outnumbered" panelists talk about why this short statement eclipsed in impact all that went before it.


Indeed. These few sentences from the Donald counteracted the liberal party line (read: party lie) that Hock Ptui "revealed her plan" to "turn the page and go forward." As President Trump said, "Why didn't she do it?!"

Normally, the candidate who supposedly won the debate could expect a bump in the polls of around 2 percent. Didn't happen! As Breitbart News revealed yesterday, Mr Trump saw his numbers in the battleground states by about 2 points. The polling memo obtained by BN shows him leading the former "Border Czar" (although she still denies that) by three points, 50%-47%, in a head-to-head ballot.

The fact that the Harris campaign is pushing for a rematch shows that they recognize that President Trump was the actual winner, no matter what the lickspittle media say. Isn't always the loser who requests the do-over? 

Why should DJT go back into the ring on the enemy's turf, alone against a team of three or more mouthpieces for the radical left? Walt says: 99% of voters (including the illegals who are going to stuff the mailboxes and ballot boxed with Dimocrat votes) have made up their minds. Enough Sturm und Drang. Could we just have some peace and quiet until the Day of Reckoning.

Footnote: Walt was glad to hear the reference, near the beginning of the video, to the victories of the AfD in Germany. Read "Good news from Occupied Germany", WWW 31/8/24.

Further reading: "Why the Debate May Not Matter at All" - Joel B. Pollak, Senior Editor-at-Large at Breitbart News, reviews the Not-so-great Debate.

Wednesday, November 4, 2020

VIDEO: 2020 election: "The people have spoken" (Sky TV Oz)

It's now Wednesday night in the Land of Oz. Chris Kenny, reporting on Sky News Australia, says the American people have spoken. And they've decided to side with Still-President Donald Trump.

   

Walt is holding his breath, hoping that the Aussie media have it right. Fingers crossed!

Footnote: As of dawn today, Mr Biden has 50% of the popular vote, thanks to huge leads on the Left Coast, and Mr Trump has 48.4%. If Mr Trump wins anyway, cue cries of, "It's Trump who stole the election. Biden won the popular vote so he should be President! The whole system is systemically racist yada yada yada..."

Further reading from outside America: "Whatever the final result, Democrats lost the 2020 U.S. election", by Konrad Yakabuski (no conservative, he), in the Globe and Mail, 4/11/20. Quotes: "Had fate, in the form of the COVID-19 pandemic, not intervened, Mr. Trump would likely have been handily re-elected on Tuesday." 

"That so many Americans were willing to cast a ballot for Mr. Trump in spite of his egregious handling of the pandemic and his moral corruptness says something about the disconnectedness of Democratic elites. By pushing their party ever further to the left, and embracing identity politics, they alienated millions of moderate voters." And there's more....

Monday, November 2, 2020

What happens tomorrow? Signs and portents

Watching the Sunday Funnies (political TV programmes), I am a bit surprised (and much encouraged) by the way the lamestream media pundits are backing off their earlier predictions of a Biden landslide. What I heard yesterday was a lot of "too close to call" iffery. 

Very Important Reporters are out of the studios, doing standups in places like Florida, Pennsylvania and (ughh, brrr) Michigan, explaining away the crowds and enthusiasm at the Trump events and lack of same at Mr Biden's gatherings of a few parked cars. 

Did you see the clips on Sunday? 1000s of people turned out in miserable weather (in MI at least) to cheer on Still-President Trump. Sleepy Joe stood at the edge of a carpark pretending to orate, while we heard the sounds of silence. See "1000s attend Trump FL rally, crickets heard at Biden rallies", WWW 14/10/20.

The lefties are nervous, friends, and well they might be. So are the pollsters. Have you ever heard so much talk about margins of errors and the "hidden Trump vote"? Just last week, notorious anti-Trumper Michael Moore told Rising that the polls predicting a Biden win were almost certainly wrong. Click here to see the video, posted on WWW 29/10/20

Just a few days prior, Robert Cahaly, chief pollster for the Trafalgar Group -- one of the handful who got it right in 2016 -- told Fox News host Sean Hannity that he sees President Trump being reelected. Mr Cahaly cited the aforementioned "hidden vote" which he said is predominantly missing from polling showing Democratic nominee Joe Biden leading nationally and in most swing states. Click here to read the report on The Hill, 21/10/20.

Let's talk about the all-important swing states. As noted above, Michael Moore already concedes that President Trump could win Michigan again. Florida looks like being close, as usual, but Mr Biden's idea of a big and prolonged lockdown isn't playing well in a state where tourism and having fun is essential to economic survival.

The lamestream media are saying Texas is in play, for the first time in decades, and that's why the Dumbocrats sent noted Indo-Jamaican politician Kamala Harris there to stump for Creepy Joe. I don't believe for a minute that TX will vote for the anti-oil party.

So also Pennsylvania, where Old Joe pulled out his rusty service revolver and shot himself in the foot with a promise to end fracking. That may have played well in Philthydelphia [so well described by Bill Burr in "The Philadelphia Incident". You can look it up. Ed.], but that city is already notorious for providing the Dems with "votes on demand" as the results roll in. "Just tell us how many you need!"

The extent of the damage Mr Biden did to himself and his campaign can be seen in the endorsement by the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette of... wait for it... Still-President Trump. See "The man and the record", PP-G 31/10/20. This is the first time since 1972 that this respected newspaper has come out for a Republican. 

To me, the most telling part of the their editorial is this paragraph:
Mr. Biden is too old for the job, and fragile. There is a very real chance he will not make it through the term. Mr. Trump is also too old but seemingly robust. But in Mike Pence, Mr. Trump has a vice president ready to take over, if need be. He is a safe pair of hands. Sen. Kamala Harris gives no evidence of being ready to be president.

In Philadelphia (and other Democrat-run cities), there is tangible evidence of fear of what will happen in the aftermath of a Biden win. Business owners big and small are closing their shops, boarding up the windows, hunkering down for the rioting and looting which (they must think) are inevitable. 

Are they afraid of pissed-off conservatives burning down the town if Mr Trump loses? Don't think so. They're afraid of the BLM and Antifa mobs which Biden-Harris refuse to condemn, and will be unable to control once the police are "defunded" and prosecutors are instructed to ignore the "antics of mostly peaceful protesters". See the video "'Black Looters Matter': Aussie Sky News looks at Pennsylvania", WWW 29/10/20. 

Time for a prediction, then? I'm still hoping President Trump will be re-elected, and am cautiously optimistic, but not willing to put down any serious money on it. So if you're a Biden fan (Hello, Agent 17!) and/or a sufferer from TDS, and want to get your bet down, Las Vegas oddsmaker-turned-conservative talk-show host Wayne Allen Root will be happy to accomodate you. 

Writing in Townhall, 1/11/20, he predicts a Trump landslide! His observations are much like those I've just written, so -- although I won't use the word "landslide" -- I don't see how we could both be wrong!  Lifetime pct .985,
 
Further viewing: "Can we still win this?", stream of consciousness from Michael Matt, editor of The Remnant newspaper, recorded on Sunday night. Can't resist posting this cartoon shown at about 2:55.

Sunday, November 1, 2020

VIDEO: "Countdown to D-Day 2020: America on the brink": Michael Matt

This doesn't need a long introduction. In his last video before Election Day, Michael Matt, editor of The Remnant newspaper, takes one last look at the 2020 presidential election.
  •  Are the polls wrong again?
  • Can Still-President Trump pull it off again?
  • Why is Bill Gates pointing to a second pandemic?
  • Why is Dr. Fauci predicting COVID restrictions through 2022?
  • What about Vatican interference in the U.S. election?
  • What issue prompted the Trump team to invite The Remnant on a Press Call?
  • Did Steve Bannon just out himself as a traditional Catholic?
  • What happens if Donald Trump loses next Tuesday? 
All that and much more!

   

Americans! More than at any time since, say, 1864, the fate of the nation depends on the re-election of President Trump! If you haven't already voted, get out there PDQ and do the right thing!

Further viewing: "The Real Reason They Want You to Hate Donald Trump", another Michael Matt video, posted by Jeremy Kappell on Facebook. "Stand with America or fall with the New World Order". Thanks to Agent 6 for the link.

Thursday, October 29, 2020

VIDEO: Michael Moore: Polls are wrong, Trump voters undercounted

Earlier today we posted a report from Australia's Sky TV in which the analysts predict Still-President Donald Trump could win Pennsylvania, because "Black Looters Matter". Readers who follow American politics [That would be everybody, this week! Ed.] will recall that Mr Trump won the Keystone State along with Wisconsin, Ohio, and Florida, to become the 45th President of the Excited States of America.

What's that you say? There was another swing state that was important in the Trump victory? Ah yes. Michigan. Michael Moore predicted four years ago that the voters of his home state and the other Rust Belt states would send Donald Trump to the White House, and he has said the same thing, again, recently.

As recently as this morning, in fact, in an appearance on The Hill's Rising with Krystal & Saagar. In this short clip, he warns (?) Americans that polls showing Sleepy Joe Biden with a lead over Still-President Trump could be very wrong.

Mr Moore's stated intent (not included in this clip) is to warn those who want to defeat the President not to be complacent, to be sure to get out and vote. His unstated intent -- I'm speculating here -- is to make us Trump supporters complacent, confident that the polls are wrong again and The Donald is going to pull off another political miracle.

Don't bite, dear reader. As Michael Matt says (see "Featured Post" at right), "Go Trump or go lockdown!" If you haven't voted yet, go in person (preferred over trusting the USPS) to the polling place on November 3rd and do the right thing!

Further reading: "1000s attend Trump FL rally, crickets heard at Biden rallies", WWW 14/10/20.

Wednesday, October 14, 2020

1000s attend Trump FL rally, crickets heard at Biden rallies

 Still-President Trump and President-Wannabe Biden are out on the hustings. The polls that the lamestream media chooses to publish are said to show Mr Biden with a comfortable lead -- 10 points or so -- over POTUS. But the pollsters have been wrong before... about four years ago, as I recall.

Think about it. If you were walking down the street and some dude with a clipboard stopped you and asked you how you intended to vote, would you say "I'm gonna vote for Trump," knowing that the response would be, "OK, I'll put you down as a racist redneck, then, because that's what all Trump supporters are."

Same thing with those stupid "man-on-the-street" bits that the major networks do. They take their cameras with the CNN/MSNBC/ABC/BBC/CBC logos and train them on the denizens of places like Teaticket MA and Lick Fork VA [You can look those up. Ed.] while a "reporter" in collar-and-tie asks "Who are you going to vote for, hillbilly person?" What answer would you give, standing there with your thumbs hooked in the straps of your bib overalls?

If you want to know what's going on in your neighbourhood, take a look at the lawn signs. Where I come from, the number of lawn signs per candidate is a pretty accurate indicator of which way the vote is going to go. And if you live in a state in which there's a Senate race, don't just count the Trump and Biden signs. Which party controls the Senate is going to be very important this time around, especially if Sleepy Joe wins the Presidensity and tries to pack SCOTUS.

It's also worth checking out the crowds at campaign events. Clips of President Trump's rally in Florida on Monday showed 1000s of cheering supporters. On the same day, former Vice-President Biden spoke to what was billed as a "drive-in rally for union workers and supporters" in Toledo OH. At left is a photo of part of the "crowd".

But (I hear you say), surely that's just a close-up of a few people. There must have been more than that! Indeed so. A longer shot which somehow wasn't edited out of the news report on the CBC (aka CNN North) showed a parking lot filled with literally dozens of cars! 

And remember, this was a union-organized event. The Dumbocrats are great friends of the unions, eh, and vice versa. By the way, the IBEW was accused repeatedly, back in the 50s, of being, if not outright Communists, at least fellow-travellers.

The week before, Mr Biden appeared in Arizona, with his running mate, the well-known Indo-Jamaican-American Kamala Harris, for what was supposed to be a major campaign event in Phoenix. Here's a screen shot of KSAZ-TV reporter Nicole Garcia describing the scene -- not a single person in sight!

"Not a lot of fanfare out here," said Ms Garcia reported. "There's really not much to see. I'll step out of the way, but it's kinda boring out here. So, it's not your typical presidential campaign event; we don't see people rallying outside, we don't see signs or really much of what's going on."

According to the Washington Standard, the cameraman panned behind Ms Garcia during her report, revealing nothing and nobody save a lone police car. When the reporter contacted the Biden campaign about the lack of fanfare and supporters, Sleepy Joe's team claimed details about the event were not widely publicized because of the coronavirus.

Ms Garcia said "I'm told by one of the local Biden staffers is that they kinda kept the details about the visit, as far as the timing and the exact locations, they didn't really want to give that out to the public, because they want to keep the crowds to a minimum." So everything went according to plan, then.

"Pretty much all the people that we saw enter into the parking lot about 45 minutes ago were with the Biden/Harris campaign and the pool reporters," Ms Garcia explained. "So, you would expect to see... I mean, this is a pretty big event for the two of them to be campaigning together for the first time since the Democratic National Convention. Here in Arizona, our state has established itself as a battleground state, and so this is technically a big event, but not a lot of fanfare."

Sez Walt: the polls may say one thing, sez Walt, but if you keep your eyes open, you can see the truth.

Further reading: The reluctance to talk to pollsters I described above has a name: shy voter phenomenon. To learn more about this, read "Study and Signs Tell Us Polls Might Be Missing Hidden Trump Voters", by John Nolte, Breitbart News, 14/10/20.

Saturday, August 29, 2020

Trump's gonna win... sez Michael Moore!

It may be remembered (although liberals, pollsters and the meeja would like to forget) that frumpy filmmaker Michael Moore predicted in October of 2016 that Donald J. Trump would win that year's election and become President of the United States. That was in his one-and-one-half-man stage show called Trumpland.

We posted an an audio clip at the time, but since it has mysteriously (?) disappeared from YouTube, we'll just repost this quote: "Whether Trump means it or not is kind of irrelevant because he's saying the things to people who are hurting, and that's why every beaten-down, nameless, forgotten working stiff who used to be part of what was called the middle class loves Trump."

But wait (as Vince Offer used to say), there's Moore! [Geddit? Ed.] Mr Moore went on to say "Trump's election is going to be the biggest 'fuck you!' ever recorded in human history, and it will feel good!" And so it did.

That was almost four years ago. Fast forward to September of 2018, when Michael Moore, while on the promotional tour for his film Fahrenheit 11/9, told CNN that President Trump is an "evil genius" who will be re-elected in 2020. Don't believe me? Click here to check out the story, which CNN cleverly buried in its Enteretainment section.

What? You'd never follow a link to the Clinton News Network. Don't blame you. Here's the best part. "Too many people in the summer of 2016 were so sure Hillary [Clinton] was going to win, saying no one is going to vote for this idiot. He could win again. I operate as if he is a two-term Trump. I have to. If you think any other way you are guaranteeing that whoever is going to run against him will lose.... I think the man is an evil genius and he was able to outsmart the smartest person ever to run for president...."

Of course no-one paid any attention to that warning because (a) it came from Michael Moore, and (b) it was on CNN. Now, with just over nine weeks to go before the 2020 election, Mr Moore has sounded the alarum again, only this time on his Facebook page. Here `tis.


Mr Moore cited a recent CNN polls showing Slow Joe Biden and Still-President Trump in a virtual tie in battleground states including Minnesota (where seven city mayors endorsed Mr Trump yesterday) and Michigan. A national CNN poll this month showed that Mr Biden's lead has narrowed, now standing at 50% to 46%. And this week a survey from the Republican-leaning Trafalgar Group found the two statistically tied at 47% in Minnesota, with Mr Trump narrowly leading Mr Biden in Michigan.

Of course the polls were famously wrong in 2016. But Michael Moore was right. Who ya gonna believe? Time to get your bets down while you can still get decent odds. Lifetime pct .982.

Tuesday, April 4, 2017

VIDEO: How Marine Le Pen can win the French presidency

An article in last week's Economist predicts, with the magazine's usual air of superiority, that popular Front National leader Marine Le Pen will lose the second round of France's presidential election. Oh yes, they admit, she looks almost certain to make it through the first round, on April 23, but all the polls indicate that she will lose in the second round on May 7.

That sounds a lot like the certainty with which the same oracle (and all the lamestream media) predicted the election of Hellery Clinton. We know how that turned out. French sociophysicist Serge Galam knew -- in advance -- and probably made a lot of money on election bets. In his paper The Trump Phenomenon: An Explanation from Sociophysics, he wrote: "The Trump phenomenon...according to a model of opinion dynamics from sociophysics...was in principle predictable from the start."

Now Prof Galam brings his unique analytic method to the French presidential contest. In the final one-on-one match-up, he says, Marine Le Pen could well win. Why? Because the polls are missing a vitally important factor: abstention -- the act of restraining oneself from voting. The Rebel's Alexander Jones explains how it impacts voter turnout for different candidates.

Saturday, November 5, 2016

Walt can't call it

Here we are in the last weekend before the Election of the Century (so far). The candidates are neck-and-neck coming to the wire. Unless one horse (or part thereof) stumbles (and one has been seen on video doing just that), it's going to be close... really close!

Fox News reports that Shrillery Clinton has a 2-point edge over Donald Trump, according to a new national poll of likely voters conducted Tuesday-Thursday. In the four-way race, Mrs Bill Clinton tops The Donald by 45% to 43%. She was up by three points a week ago, and by six in mid-October. Garry "What's Aleppo?" Johnson gets 5% and Greenie (((Jill Stein))) brings up the rear with 2%. Only 4% of those polled were undecided. The other 96% said they'd made up their minds -- some had voted already -- and just wanted to get the whole thing over with.


It's funny to hear the lamestream meeja talking about the polls. After the third debate, when Hellery was in the ascendant, the Clinton News Network and all the others except Fox were crying "Look at the polls. It's all over! Clinton can't be beat!" But since the FBI bombshell, with every national poll indicating a virtual tie -- numbers within the margin of error -- the same gliberals are telling us that national polls don't matter, because what really counts is the vote in the Electoral College.

Looked at that way, Mr Trump has a hard row to hoe. To win the Electoral College, he has to win key swing states like Florida, Ohio and North Carolina. In fact he pretty much has to run the table. But you never know. Not all the electors pledged to vote for a certain candidate can be counted on to do so.

Just today, Fox News reports that a Democratic elector in Washington state says he won't cast his vote for La Clinton if (as is likely) she wins the state in Tuesday's election. Robert Satiacum, a member of the Puyallup Tribe, supported Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary, which the Vermont senator won by approximately a 3-to-1 margin. He said he believes Clinton is a "criminal" who doesn't care enough about American Indians and "she's done nothing but flip back and forth." He told AP, "She will not get my vote, period."

So who knows. I am reluctant to put my sterling record (lifetime pct .991) on the line on this one. I find it hard to be objective, since I believe Mrs Clinton ought be in the prisoner's dock, not the Oval Office. And, even though the wish may be father to the thought, I think there are more Trump supporters out there than the polls would indicate. I have some bets with Trump + 5 points, but nobody's giving me that kind of an edge today. Nope. Can't call it. Stay tuned....